Oscar Predictions

Posted: February 22, 2019 in Uncategorized
Tags: ,

The Oscars are coming up. I haven’t seen all of the nominees, but this year, I’ve seen a lot leading up to the ceremony.

UPDATE: I got a few right though. 

There are eight (not five, not ten) movies nominated for an Oscar. Roma **** should win. And will probably win, even though it didn’t get a wide theatrical release. Black Panther *** just may win as well to please the American cinema going audience. Why not? Green Book **(*) is a potential winner too. The Favourite *** won’t win, but is a good runner up. Blackkklansman ** won’t win either, but its the best of the four remaining nominations, Bohemian Rhapsody ** A Star Is Born ** and Vice **.

Best Actor should go to Christian Bale or Viggo Mortensen. The latter won’t win though. Nor will Bradley Cooper. Rami Malek did a good job, so if he wins as predicted, it’s okay. Haven’t seen Willem Dafoe as Vincent Van Gogh yet, but the trailer doesn’t look promising.

Olivia Colman will win Best Actress and she’s great. But all the other nominees are great too. Melissa McCarthy and Lady Gaga are surprisingly good. Glenn Close is predictably good. But wouldn’t it be cool if Yalitza Aparicio wins? Her performance is the best, but was it acting?

Mahershala Ali will win his second Oscar for best supporting role. And looking at the other nominees, he’s the best choice. Although the fifteen minutes of Sam Rockwell as Bush Jr are hilarious though. Richard E Grant did a great job too. Adam Driver and Sam Elliott were not really memorable.

This is the strongest category. Rachel Weisz and Emma Stone aren’t really supporting at all. They are carrying the movie. Both equally fascinating and a tough call to chose a ‘favourite’, but maybe Emma Stone is winning the battle. Marina de Tavira is excellent too. Amy Adams is fascinating as (almost) always. And still have to see Regina King in action, so can’t comment.

Best Director should be Alfonso Cuaron. Haven’t seen Cold War yet. But The Favourite is a script and acting movie. Same with Vice. And sorry, Spike Lee, but Blackkksman isn’t directorially amazing.

Cinematography: Roma, no doubt. But haven’t seen Cold War or Werk Ohne Autor yet.

Costume design: The Favourite will win, but give this one to Black Panther!

Make up should go to Vice!

Production design is a tough one. The settings of The Favourite look amazing. But so do the ones in Black Panther. And that house in Roma is phenomanlly designed.

Film Editing: Vice was cleverly edited. Bohemian Rhapsody as well. That live aid scene! But Roma can have this one too.

Sound Editing can go to Bohemian Rhapsody. Or A Quiet Place. Nice to see that movie nominated for something.

Sound Mixing can go to Bohemian Rhapsody as well. Or Black Panther.

 Give Black Panther the song and the original score. Don’t give song to Shallow, please.

Only seen one foreign language movie, which is weird. But I don’t think any of the others can and will beat Roma. But it may just win the most important one and they might as well give this one to Cold War. 

 Wait, Black Panther isn’t nominated for Visual Effects? Give it to First Man then.

 The writing categories are tough. From the three adapted screenplays that I have seen, none is really that good. But Can You Ever Forgive Me? can win. It’ll probably go to If Beale Street Could Talk. The original screenplay will go to The Favourite.

Only seen one animated movie and wasn’t impressed. Isle of Dogs wasn’t soo good. That Into the Spider-Verse looks fun. Haven’t seen any of the short ones either.

Time to watch the short movies if possible. Haven’t seen any.

Haven’t seen any of the documentaries. Short or long.

 

So here’s a guess (and my favourite in between brackets)

Movie: Roma (Roma) GREEN BOOK

Actor: Rami Malek (Christian Bale)

Actress: Olivia Colman (Yalitza Aparicio)

Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali (Mahershala Ali)

Supporting Actress: Regina King (Amy Adams)

Animated Feature: In The Spider-Verse

Cinematography: Roma (Roma)

Costume Design: The Favourite (Black Panther)

Directing: Alfonso Cuaron for Roma (Alfonso Cuaron)

Documentary: Free Solo

Documentary Short: End Game    Period. End Sentence. 

Film Editing: Roma (Vice) Bohemian Rhapsody

Foreign Language Film: Cold War (Roma)

Make Up: Vice (Vice)

Original Score: Mary Poppins Returns (Black Panther)

Original Song: Shallow (All The Stars)

Production Design: The Favourite (Black Panther)

Short Animated: One Small Step   Bao

Short Film: Skin

Sound Editing: Bohemian Rhapsody (A Quiet Place)

Sound Mixing: A Star Is Born (Bohemian Rhapsody)

Visual Effects: Ready Player One (First Man)

Adapted Screenplay: If Beale Street Could Talk   Blackkksman

Original Screenplay: The Favourite (The Favourite)   Green Book 

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